“hypertext cycles” and decision-making

Peter Merholz writes about a pattern he observed, back when he was in Epinions, about the way people decided what digital camera to buy.

We assumed that, given the task of finding an appropriate digital camera, people would whittle down the attributes such as price, megapixel count, and brand, and arrive at the few options best suited to them. If they had questions along the way, they could read helpful guides that would define terms, suggest comparison strategies, etc.
Again and again in our observations, that didn’t happen. People who knew little about digital cameras made no attempt to bone up. Instead they’d barrel through the taxonomy, usually beginning with a familiar brand, and get to a product page as quick as possible. It was only then, when looking at a specific item, and seeing what it’s basic specifications were, did they pause, sit back, and think, “Hmmm. This has 2 megapixels. I wonder how many I want?” Some would look for glossaries or guides, others would read reviews, and some just guessed by comparing the various products.
They would go through this cycle — looking at a product, reflect on their needs, understand concepts, look at another product, reflect again, etc. — a few times. Todd and I came up with a conceptual model, where the user is something like a bouncing ball, falling straight onto a product, then bouncing up, getting a lay of the land, falling onto another product, bouncing up again, but not as high since they’re starting to figure it out, falling onto another product, and repeating until they’ve found the right one.

Makes total sense. People need concrete examples in order to start to understand the conceptual space of digital camera features.
More good decision-making references in the comments to peterme’s post.

2 thoughts on ““hypertext cycles” and decision-making”

  1. People do this because only by looking at exact products can you find the tradeoffs involved… to further your example: I want a digital camera that’s 4megapixel, can do movies and stills, has a firewire port, can take both CF and SD cards, and costs <$500. I’m fairly sure nothing matches that – and there’s no way for me to see what comes closest without digging into the details of any one product, and seeing how close they get. In the process, I’ll likely make some decisions about which of the features I listed are most important to me, and from there can use a search tool like the one described.
    –pj

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